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Looming unrest in the oil sector' is rattling Central Asia's biggest country

Published by Business Insider on Sun, 16 Aug 2015


Oil hasbeen sliding again recently, hitting itslowest level in six years last week.Kazakhstan, like many others,is feelingthe pain asblackgold dips lower and lower.But that's not the Central Asian's country's only problem: The government is also concerned about "looming unrest in the oil sector"that has followed lower oil,according to a new report by Stratfor.Right now, the Kazakh government is thinking about changing labor codes, which would allow employers to dictate wages and employment more easily.But energy unions are not pleased with this developmentespecially in an environment where drilling companies are already laying off hundreds of oil workers.And Kazakhstan is worried about what the union workers could do."Astana's biggest fear is social unrest," Stratfor points out. "Kazakhstan has watched protestscaused by either outside intervention or internal issuesoverturn governments repeatedly across the former Soviet Union during the past few decades. Kazakhstan has experiencedsporadic protests and terrorist attacks, but what the government most wants to prevent is a repeat of the so-called Zhanaozen riots (also referred to as a massacre)."Consequently, "Kazakh government is launching a series of negotiations with oil unions in the country's western energy-producing regions amid the threat of protests," with the hope ofcontain the situation, according to the report.Notably, it's not just the Kazakh government that's worried about the country's stability.Thepost-Soviet state sits between Russia and Asia, which makes it an important player in both Moscow's and Beijing's strategic plans.Aon top of that, Kazakhstan "is also one of the primary destinations for migrant Central Asian workers and thus contributes to other Central Asian states' economies," according to Stratfor.So an unstable Kazakhstan could mean bad news for many of the countries around it.SEE ALSO:Here's what the "spectrum of pain" looks like for the 12 members of OPECJoin the conversation about this story
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