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Canada is nearing 'peak crazy in the housing market

Published by Business Insider on Fri, 12 Aug 2016


Canada's housing market keeps getting hotter.TheTeranet-National Bank Composite House Price Index, which covers 11 cities, rose by a seasonally adjusted 1.4% month-over-month in July.This was the largest month-over-month gain in almost seven years.In year-over-year terms, the index increased to a six-year high of 10.9% in July, compared withJune's 10%."The acceleration in national housing price growth ... reflects a spreading out of the housing mania beyond just Toronto and Vancouver," according toPaul Ashworth, the chief North America economist at Capital Economics.Looking under the hood of the data, prices in Vancouver and Toronto rose, month-over-month, by 2.5%and 2.0%,respectively. Meanwhile, prices rose by 0.6% month-over-monthin the other nine citieseven factoring in falls in Calgary and Edmonton.Notably, Canada is implementing a 15% tax on foreign buyers in an attempt to cool the market. Some economists, including Bank of CanadaGovernor Stephen Poloz, had previously suggested that non-Canadian buyers might be contributing to the price increase."It will be interesting to see how prices respond," Ashworth wrote, regarding the tax."Our guess is that it will affect prices for a month or two, but we still believe this is mostly a domestically-driven bubble and, with interest rates only going lower, prices will rebound later this year."In any case, Ashworth also argued that the recent dip in the Canada Real Estate Association'ssales-to-listing ratio could also indicate that the housing market has "peaked.""Overall, we might be close to peak crazy in the housing market," hewrote. "The drop-off in home sales over the past couple of months suggests that the pace of house price appreciation will begin to moderate later this year."SEE ALSO:What 25 major world leaders and dictators looked like when they were youngJoin the conversation about this storyNOW WATCH: A nutrition expert reveals how often you should eat to look better
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