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Don't put all your eggs in one basket

Published by Business Insider on Sun, 21 Aug 2016


Income is scarce. Global growth is sluggish. Tomorrows returns may not match yesterdays. All of this can make it seem like theres no way to get ahead. We think a holistic, diversified approach can help.Investors today are facing some harsh realities that can make it seem impossible to meet their investment goals. For example:Unconventional central bank policies in developed countries and slow growth have kept bond yields low. In Japan and Europe, negative yields mean investors are actually paying governmentsand even some corporationsfor the privilege of lending to them.Many assets are set for a run of below-average returns (Display). For example, after a seven-year bull run, developed-market equity valuations, including price-to-earnings multiples, are above historical averages. That will likely dampen future return potential.Many market participants have responded by tearing up their investment playbooks and starting from scratch. For income-seeking investors, thats often meant loading up on the highest-yielding assets they can findand leaving themselves vulnerable when markets decline. Many growth investors, meanwhile, have soured on active management altogether and embraced passive strategies instead.We think a more selective approach would work better, especially now that markets are getting more turbulent and less predictable. In our view, a nimble, diversified strategy that mixes tactical allocations with a broad universe of investments would do more to help outcome-oriented investors achieve their goals.WIDENING THE OPPORTUNITY SETThese types of multi-asset strategies can be designed with a particular objective in mindand managers can go anywhere in the global capital markets to meet it. That can include using active and passive strategies, as well as nontraditional alternative strategies that can tap a wider investment universe to produce alpha. More importantly, every strategy and asset class must contribute to the overall investment objective.For investors seeking a targeted return within certain risk boundaries or a specific level of income, this unconstrained approach makes more sense than one that limits them to parameters set by a single benchmark.AVOIDING UNWANTED RISKSBeing able to capture opportunities quickly wherever they arise is important because financial markets are becoming less predictable. A shaky growth outlook, Chinas slowdown, the surprise Brexit vote in the UKall have boosted volatility and investor unease this year. The result: no asset class has consistently outperformed the others this year.Investors who focus too narrowly on a handful of assets can get into trouble. For instance, investors who need steady income might choose a simplistic mix of high-dividend stocks and high-yield bonds. This approach can provide a hefty income during calm stretches. But because each component is highly correlated to broad stock market moves, the strategy can be hit by big drawdowns when sentiment sours.DIVERSIFICATION STILL WORKSIn the past, few investors doubted that diversification of this sort improves returns and reduces losses over time. But in recent years, diversification has been getting a bad rap. The reason is simple: over the last few years, stock marketsparticularly in the UShave moved in one direction: up. The S&P 500 Index rose nearly 250% on a total return basis between March 2009 and mid-2015. Investors who diversified away from stocks paid for it with lower returns.But no asset class wins all the time, and those multiyear bull runs seem to be winding down. Developed equity markets have been flat or lower over the past year, while other asset classes like high-yield bonds and emerging-market assets are looking up. Investors with concentrated exposureseither to an asset class, a region or a benchmarkmay have suffered.We think these increasingly volatile conditions will be the new normal for markets in the years to comeand multi-asset strategies with their inherent diversification are designed to thrive in these environments.SELF-ASSEMBLY NOT REQUIREDBut the do-it-yourself approach doesnt always work. Investors who try to stitch together multiple single-asset strategies in one portfolio may find it hard to see how all the pieces fit together, exposing themselves to unknown risk.Also, investors who slice up their allocation into many different silo-like strategies may not be able to identify and capture relative-value opportunities quickly. A well-constructed, integrated and dynamic strategy offers managers a more holistic understanding of relative risks and returns and can help improve the chance of meeting an investors goals.SEE ALSO:Billionaire investor Howard Marks just went after Donald Trump's economic policiesJoin the conversation about this storyNOW WATCH: What abandoned Olympic venues from around the world look like today
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