Indianapolis owns Tennessee in the recent rivalry between the teams, winning the last nine meetings outright and going 8-1 against the spread. But the 2-4 Colts will go off as underdogs when they take on the 3-3 Titans on Sunday afternoon in Nashville. Point spread: The Titans opened as 1.5-point favorites; the total was 51 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report)NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 34.0-13.5 Titans (NFL picks on every game)Why the Colts can cover the spreadIndianapolis thought it was on its way to a second straight victory last week, leading at Houston late before blowing it and losing in overtime 26-23.The Colts scored the first 13 points of the game and led 23-9 with seven minutes to go. However, they then gave up one score, couldn't make a first down and had to give the ball back to the Texans, who only needed three plays to cover 53 yards and send the game to overtime. Then, Indianapolis made one first down, punted, gave up a long pass completion and lost on a Houston field goal.On the day, the Colts came up with their best rushing performance of the year, gaining 161 yards on the ground, and won time of possession by over six minutes. They just couldn't get that first down when they needed one.Two weeks ago, Indianapolis scored the last 10 points of the game to beat Chicago 29-23.Why the Titans can cover the spreadTennessee is working on its first winning streak since 2013 after holding off Cleveland last week 28-26. The Titans took a 7-0 lead five minutes into the gameon the first of three Marcus Mariota touchdown passes, and pushed that to 28-13 midway through the fourth quarter. However, they gave away the cover as seven-point favorites when they allowed the Browns to score twice in the last two minutes, the second time with less than 30 seconds to go.For the day Tennessee outrushed Cleveland 137-40 while going 7-for-13 on third-down conversions.Two weeks ago, the Titans won at Miami 30-17, and the week before that they lost to Houston on a punt return touchdown. Tennessee has also outgained three of its last four opponents and outrushed each of its last five foes. Smart pickThe Titans are showing progress, while the Colts look hapless. Also, while Indianapolis swept two games from Tennessee last year, both contests were close. It's about time the Titans put an end to their losing streak in this series. Betting trendsThe Colts are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against the Titans.The Titans are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games against their division.The Titans are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite.All NFL betting lines and point spreads data courtesy of Bleacher Reports official odds partner Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and Odds Shark YouTube for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.
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